Miss State
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
48  Marta Freitas SR 19:47
76  Rhianwedd Price JR 19:57
137  Cornelia Griesche SR 20:09
207  Mia Meydrich SO 20:21
252  Lisa Ziegler JR 20:28
346  Ffion Price JR 20:41
458  Shannon Fair FR 20:51
746  Antonia Hehr FR 21:16
National Rank #16 of 339
South Region Rank #1 of 46
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 98.5%
Most Likely Finish 18th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 3.9%
Top 10 at Nationals 18.9%
Top 20 at Nationals 70.6%


Regional Champion 57.9%
Top 5 in Regional 99.6%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Marta Freitas Rhianwedd Price Cornelia Griesche Mia Meydrich Lisa Ziegler Ffion Price Shannon Fair Antonia Hehr
Panorama Farms Invitational 09/26 522 19:56 20:14 20:00 20:23 20:24 21:04 20:55 20:54
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/17 533 19:43 19:46 20:25 20:30 20:34 20:30 20:48
SEC Championships 10/30 520 19:56 20:15 20:08 20:19 20:17 20:32 20:43 21:44
South Region Championships 11/13 471 19:49 19:57 20:04 20:06 20:39 20:49 20:56
NCAA Championship 11/21 516 19:42 19:47 20:15 20:29 20:33 20:42 21:00





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 98.5% 16.5 435 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.5 2.1 2.7 3.0 3.2 4.0 4.2 4.7 4.7 5.3 5.6 5.0 5.7 6.0 5.1 5.5 4.9 4.5 3.8 3.5 3.6 1.9 1.8 1.6 1.4 0.8 0.1
Region Championship 100% 1.7 80 57.9 26.1 10.5 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Marta Freitas 99.1% 53.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.8 1.0 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.0 1.0
Rhianwedd Price 98.5% 79.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4
Cornelia Griesche 98.5% 116.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Mia Meydrich 98.5% 151.3 0.0 0.0
Lisa Ziegler 98.5% 169.1
Ffion Price 98.5% 198.3
Shannon Fair 98.5% 217.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Marta Freitas 4.5 7.2 12.7 13.1 12.1 10.9 9.1 7.5 5.7 4.8 3.5 3.0 2.3 2.1 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Rhianwedd Price 7.6 1.5 4.4 6.0 8.0 8.2 9.5 8.0 7.9 7.4 6.0 5.9 4.3 3.4 3.0 3.1 2.0 2.0 1.6 1.4 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.6
Cornelia Griesche 13.4 0.2 0.5 1.3 1.8 2.5 3.4 4.6 5.0 5.7 5.9 5.7 5.1 5.8 5.7 4.6 4.9 3.8 4.1 3.7 3.5 3.2 2.6 2.2 2.0 1.8
Mia Meydrich 21.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.5 2.0 2.2 2.8 3.0 2.8 3.0 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.6 4.2 4.6 3.3 4.5 4.6 3.7 3.2
Lisa Ziegler 27.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.7 1.2 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.1 1.9 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 3.3 3.6 3.5 3.5 4.1
Ffion Price 38.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.6 1.7 2.2 2.0
Shannon Fair 48.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 57.9% 100.0% 57.9 57.9 1
2 26.1% 100.0% 26.1 26.1 2
3 10.5% 99.1% 1.2 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.6 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 10.4 3
4 3.7% 97.3% 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 3.6 4
5 1.3% 27.7% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.4 5
6 0.3% 21.4% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 6
7 0.2% 0.2 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
Total 100% 98.5% 57.9 26.1 1.2 2.1 2.0 2.3 2.2 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 1.5 84.0 14.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Vanderbilt 92.1% 1.0 0.9
Georgetown 83.8% 1.0 0.8
Utah 63.8% 1.0 0.6
Purdue 53.2% 1.0 0.5
Texas 43.8% 1.0 0.4
Alabama 41.4% 1.0 0.4
Weber State 40.5% 1.0 0.4
Villanova 30.4% 1.0 0.3
Kansas 26.0% 1.0 0.3
Yale 19.5% 2.0 0.4
Auburn 13.8% 2.0 0.3
Air Force 10.1% 1.0 0.1
Stephen F. Austin 9.1% 1.0 0.1
Colorado St. 8.8% 1.0 0.1
Texas A&M 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Rice 5.9% 1.0 0.1
California 5.3% 1.0 0.1
Brown 5.0% 1.0 0.1
Mississippi 3.3% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma 2.3% 2.0 0.0
Florida 1.7% 2.0 0.0
Cal Poly 1.4% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Washington 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Bradley 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.3% 2.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Michigan 0.2% 2.0 0.0
New Hampshire 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Connecticut 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 6.1
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 14.0